Research
Working Papers
- Foreign Foundations: How External States Create Violent Armed Groups
- Leadership Change and Splintering in Non-State Armed Groups
- Internal Politics and Power Struggles: The Use of Coup-Proofing in Non-State Armed Groups (under review)
- Splintering, Extremism, and Militant Violence, with Iris Malone (under review)
- International Causes of Militant Splintering, with Iris Malone
Publications
- “To Support Democracy in Myanmar, Engage with Ethnic Armed Organizations,” War on the Rocks, January 19, 2022. https://warontherocks.com/2022/01/to-support-democracy-in-myanmar-engage-with-ethnic-armed-organizations
- “The Oath Keepers,” with Andrew Lokay and Martha Crenshaw. Dynamics of Asymmetric Conflict 14, no. 2 (2021): 160-178, DOI: 10.1080/17467586.2021.1912375
- “Why the US police should read ‘just war’ theory,” with Lauren Sukin. International Affairs Blog, August 20, 2020. https://medium.com/international-affairs-blog/fsf-pandemic-politics-us-police-just-war-theory-1f210054e5fc
Policy Reports
- “Fighting the Hydra: Combatting Vulnerabilities in Online Leaderless Resistance Networks,” with Iris Malone and Lauren Blasco. National Counterterrorism Innovation, Technology, and Education Center (NCITE): Omaha, NE (March 2022).
- “Measuring Success in the War on Drugs,” with Pat Paterson. U.S. Department of Defense, William J. Perry Center for Hemispheric Defense Studies, Perry Center Occasional Paper (2014): 1-24. https://williamjperrycenter.org/content/measuring-success-war-drugs
Original Datasets
- Splintering and Leadership Change in Myanmar, 1939-2019: Quantitative dataset that records instances of splintering and leadership change in 43 armed groups operating in Myanmar between 1939-2019. Includes 150+ pages of qualitative information about how leaders entered office and exited office, as well as why and how groups splintered. Also contains a bibliography of sources for each group.
- Foreign Foundations: The Nature of State Involvement in Armed Group Formation, 1990-2019: Quantitative dataset that codes the nature and extent of external state involvement in armed group formation for 225 armed groups established around the world between 1990-2019. Also includes a bibliography of sources and a qualitative summary of each group’s formation and the nature of state involvement.